19 January 2005

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Recent and not so recent updates on what I have forecast.

Domestic:

2) Question: If 28% of the population votes for you while 27% votes for your opponent, did the nation endorse your actions? I wouldn't say so, but I'm not GWB. The neocons really are amazing in their arrogance, aren't they?

Foreign Relations:

1) Atacks against Iraqi oil facilities
2003: 5.3 attacks/month (Starting in June)
2004: 12.3 attacks/month
2005: 22 attacks/month (OK, small sample size, but still)
Of course, is it any wonder considering the sorts of tatics we have resorted to?

3) Looks like it is going to be Iran. Of course the administration is falling over itself to deny it, but it seems pretty damn obvious.

4) See, reserve doesn't mean "Something kept back or saved for future use or a special purpose." It means "Part of the main force, once we manage to get rid of that silly old regulation."

5) We are, in fact, not well thought of.

Economics:
1) The IEA is saying that high oil prices might be here to stay. Random fact: As of Jan 14th NYMEX crude has been over $40 for six months. I think that counts as not a "blip".

2) Record trade deficits, again.

3) Iran really, really wants to be first. They might pull it off, but I'm still betting on Russia.

6) Yet another airline is having problems.

7) and/or 8) Wait a minute, you mean that you can't cut taxes, wage war, and go on the biggest biggest spending spree in the history of the US indefinatly? Pity about veterans benefits, school budgets, health care and housing assistance programs though.

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